GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2007-11-30

Sample: 2000(2)-2007(2) , forecasted: 2007(3) through 2007 (4)

Table 1: GDP forecasts


Date	Year-to-year growth (%) of Swiss real gross domestic product (GDP)
	forecast	standard error		realisation
2007(3)	2.8599	0.48		2.9
2007(4)	2.8670	0.68		-

Sources: Own calculations, realised GDP: seco

	Last update	2007-11-30
	Standard error of regression	0.485

	Literature:	see here
	Business cycle data	2007-11-30
	History	First release

	Illustration
	Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer: Ex-ante forecast properties

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