GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2007-11-30

     
   

Sample: 2000(2)-2007(2) , forecasted: 2007(3) through 2007 (4)

    Table 1: GDP forecasts
   
         
Date
Year-to-year growth (%) of Swiss real gross domestic product (GDP)
  forecast standard error realisation
2007(3) 2.8599 0.48 2.9
2007(4)
2.8670 0.68 -
    Sources: Own calculations, realised GDP: seco
  Last update
2007-11-30
  Standard error of regression
0.485
  Literature:
see here
  Business cycle data 2007-11-30
  History
First release

 

  Illustration
  Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer: Ex-ante forecast properties
 

 

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