GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2008-08-15

     
   

Sample: 2000(2)-2008(1), Forecast: 2008(2) through 2008 (3)

    Table 1: GDP forecasts
   
         
Date
Year-to-year growth (%) of Swiss real gross domestic product (GDP)
  forecast standard error realisation
2008(1) 3.62 - 3.0
2008(2) 2.78 0.58 2.3
2008(3)
 2.83 0.82 -
   

Sources: Own calculations, realised GDP: seco (September 02, 2008 release)

Please also refer to the SPECIAL RELEASE NOTES!
  Previous update
2008-05-06
  Standard error of regression
0.582
  Literature:
see here
  Business cycle data 2008-08-15
  History
2008-05-06 release
    2008-01-24 release
    2007-11-30 release
    First release

 

  Illustration
  Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer: Ex-ante forecast properties
 

 
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