GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2009-08-24 |
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Sample: 2000(2)-2009(1), Forecast: 2009 (2) |
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| Table 1: Swiss real gross domestic product with forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sources: Own calculations, forecast for 2009(2), before that date fitted vlues, *realised GDP: seco (left: March 02, 2009 ; right : June 02, 2009 releases) Note: Forecasts obtained by best nowcasting model. |
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SPECIAL NOTE |
Analysis of revisions of seco's quarterly estimates (German summary). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Previous update | 2009-05-12 |
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| Standard error of regression* | 0.702 |
| Literature: | ||
| Business cycle data | please ask for your personal copy! | |
| History | 2009-05-12 release | |
| 2009-02-06 release | ||
| 2008-11-07 release | ||
| 2008-08-15 release | ||
| 2008-01-24 release | ||
| 2007-11-30 release | ||
| First release | ||
| *Standard error of regression refers to baseline model published in the first release. | ||
| Illustration | |
| Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer: Ex-ante forecast properties | |
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