GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2010-11-29 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Table: Swiss real gross domestic product with forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sources: Own calculations, forecast for 2010(3), before that date fitted values, *realised GDP: seco (left: June 02, 2010, right: September 2, 2010 releases) Sample: 2000 (2) - 2010 (2), Forecast: 2010 (3) Note: Forecasts obtained by best nowcasting model. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SPECIAL FEATURE |
Why debt brakes in Germany are different. Statement commissioned by the Federal state of Hesse regarding the draft for a change of the constitution. Read why regional business cycle matter and why the surprise index may help! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer: Ex-ante forecast properties | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
«home | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*Standard error of regression refers to baseline model published in the first release. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
«home |