GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2015-05-13 |
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Table: Swiss real gross domestic product with forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sources: Own calculations, forecast for 2015(1), fitted values otherwise, *seco releases (left: December 3, 2014, right: March 3, 2015). § Last quarter's forecast: 2.42 percent year-on-year. The mistakenly reported value of 2.3 referred to the quarter-on-quarter growth rate forecast. Sample: 2000 (2) - 2014 (4), Forecast: 2015 (1) Note: Forecasts obtained by best nowcasting model. |
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Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP: Ex-ante forecast properties | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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*Standard error of regression refers to baseline model published in the first release. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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